10 Web Predictions for 2008
December 31st, 2007 | Categories: acquisitions, launch, networks, off topic, social media, strategy, trends, wikisIn light of all the recent prediction posts for 2008, I present to you my list:
1. Google misses an earnings estimate; the stock drops a couple hundred bucks a share in one day.
2. An increasing number of mainstream musicians drop their record labels and sell directly online.
3. The term “web 2.0″ is outlawed.
4. The “semantic web” and start-ups in the space continue to stumble.
5. Twitter is acquired.
6. Facebook continues to set the bar and dominate the social networking space.
7. Technorati continues to suck.
8. Open ID takes off; more sites embrace the standard.
9. Google launches a job site (or acquires one… SimplyHired? Indeed?).
10. Wikipedia gains widespread credibility and acceptance.
Bonus: 37signals is acquired (long shot).
What do you think will happen in 2008? Am I on target or way off?
December 31st, 2007 at 3:18 am
I find #8’s going to be tough… Critical mass is so far off
December 31st, 2007 at 4:28 am
Good list but #8 hasn’t gained nearly enough profile or traction yet. Not sure about #9.
December 31st, 2007 at 6:48 am
I’m a daily reader http://www.37signals.com/svn and i highly doubt that you bonus will pan out, and honestly I hope they don’t. They really know what they’re doing and how to provide great support for the web apps, and I would hate to see it go away. I also like the fact that their not widely known, it kind of makes me feel like I am part of a tight knit community.
January 1st, 2008 at 4:46 am
I truly doubt #10 will happen… the nature of the Wikipedia makes it VERY improbable.
January 1st, 2008 at 10:54 pm
Love the list, Aidan. I think you’re right about #2, but I think it’ll go even farther than that. Check out the One Human Family Gospel Choir on BountyUp.com - they essentially crowdfunded their own virtual record label, from their fans. I think we could see an explosion of this among indie bands.
January 2nd, 2008 at 9:24 pm
Great list. I don’t think #1 will happen, as Google will continue to go from strength to strength (in my opinion).
I think 2008 really will be the year of #2 though. Radiohead (and others) have shown that record labels are become more and more unnecessary, and they know it.